Subscriber Discussion

Does Anyone Have A Good Source For Physical Security Market Size?

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Brice Sloan
May 11, 2018

Does anyone have a good source for physical security market size?  This would include perimeter fencing, gates, sensors and access control?  

JH
John Honovich
May 11, 2018
IPVM

IHS says "The global physical security equipment market was estimated to be worth $29.2 billion in 2016, and it is expected to reach $41.7 billion in 2021."

Brice, I am curious. What impact would it have on you if the answer was $30 billion vs $40 vs $50 billion, etc.?

U
Undisclosed #1
May 12, 2018

What was the IHS prediction in 2011 for 2016?

I can't find it.

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Brice Sloan
May 12, 2018

John - Great question! This market size data is incredibly flaky and not very useful in some contexts - conversations that start with "If the market is $29.2 billion and I take a 1% share - then I have a $29.5M company.  Invest in my company.  We are a sure bet."  That isn't interesting to me.  

In my context, I am looking at the following:

- change in market size - is there something creating additional market opportunities?

- what is the thinking behind evaluating a market - sometimes you find a interesting trends such as declining government investment in an area or a change in geographic investment.

- finally, I try to do as much as I can to bust out of my own echo chamber by reading IPVM/market evaluations/contrarian opinions/Wall St. Journal/Snapchat (courtesy of my kids)/etc. 

In other words, market research reports are just one data point in a much more complex discussion, although it is really nice to have a good market conditions summary as a conversation beginning point.

 

  

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