2009 IP Video Market Forecast

Author: John Honovich, Published on Oct 21, 2008

IP Video market growth will slow by 66% next year due to the unfolding financial implosion. It is critical for all of us to understand where it will slow, why it will slow and how the impact will be most felt. This report provides projections for 2009 revenue growth factoring in macroeconomic changes.

Here are the key projections:

  • IP Video market will grow 15% in 2009
  • Growth rate will shrink by 66% compared to 2008
  • Megapixel camera growth rate will be 30% in 2009
  • Video Analytic growth rate will be -10% in 2009
  • IP cameras and video management software growth will be 15% in 2009

** ***** ****** ****** **** **** ** **% **** **** due ** *** ********* ********* *********. ** ** ******** *** all ** ** ** ********** ***** ** **** ****, *** it **** **** *** *** *** ****** **** ** **** felt. **** ****** ******** *********** *** **** ******* ****** ********* in ************* *******.

**** *** *** *** ***********:

  • ** ***** ****** **** **** **% ** ****
  • ****** **** **** ****** ** **% ******** ** ****
  • ********* ****** ****** **** **** ** **% ** ****
  • ***** ******** ****** **** **** ** -**% ** ****
  • ** ******* *** ***** ********** ******** ****** **** ** **% in ****

[***************]

Easy ****** ** ****

*** **** ****** *** ********* *** ********** **** ************* *** last * ***** ** ********* ****. ** *********** ****** **** the ******* ********* ******** **** ** ******** *** **** ***** liquidity **** ** ******** ** *** ***********. ***********, **** **** this *******, *** ********** *** ******** ********* ** ******** ***** loans **** ***** ****** *** ******* ******** ** *** **** 5 *****. **** **** **** *********** ****** ** **** *** growth *** ******** ***********.

***********, *** ********* ****** ****** ** *** *** ******** (** of **/**/**). **** ********** *********** * ************* ** *** ****** market. ***********, **** ** ** ****** *** ****** ******* ****** to **** ********* ** ******** ** *** **** *** ******, damage *** **** ****. *** **** **** **** ***** **** projects ** *** ***** ****, *** ******* *** **** ** spending **** ****** **** ****** **** ********** ****** ******* ******** growth, ******** *** ********** *** ********* ** ****** ** *** capital ******** **** ** ***** *******.

Wealth ********* **** ******* ******** ********

** *** ******** ****, *** ******* **** ** **** ******* prices *** ****** **** ***** ********* ** ***** *** **** than **********. ******** ******** ******** *** ************* **% ** ***.  A ***** ********** ** ********** ******** ******** *** ********** ** **** ****** *** ********** ********* ** ******* *** equity ******. ****** **** ******* ** ******* **** *** **** *** years, ******* *** ****** ** ** ********.

*********** *** ******* ********* ** *** **** ********* ***** *** severe ****** ** *** ************* ** ******* ****** ********. *** chart ***** ************ *** *** ** *** **** ********* ******* mortgage ****** ***********. ***********, *** ******** ****** *********** ***** ******** growth ****** *** **** *********. ****, *********, **** *** ** the **** **** ****.

Capital ********* ******** **** ******* ** *******

**** ********* ******** **** *** ****** ***** *******, ******** **** have ** ***** **** ******* ********* ********.  **** *** ******* to ******* **** ******** ******* ****** ****** *** *** ******** to ****** ********* **** ********* *********.

** ***** **, ** **********, * ******* *******. *** ***** IP ***** ******* ** *** ******** ** *********** ** ****** CCTV ******* ******** ****** *** **** *** *****, ********* **** need ** ****** ******* ** **** **** ** **** ******** to ******** ** ***** *******. *** ********* ******** ** ****** will ** *******. *** ******* ** ******** ******** **** ****** will ** ****** **** – ********** ********** ** **** ** these ******* **** **** ******** ** *** **** * *****. Stretching *** *** **** ** **** **** ******* *** ** extra **** **** ********* ** **** ********.

******* ** ******* ******** *** ******* ****** **. *** ********,******* *****************, “******** *** **** ***** **** ** ** ******* **** have ********* ** ********* **** ** ***** *** **** **** have ********* ***** ****** ****** ******* *** ********* *********; *** also **** **** ***** ******** ****** ***** ******* ************* ** evidenced ** *** ****-*** ** **** ********** ******* *****. ***** are *** ********, *** *****. ** ****** ******* **** ****, or ****** ** ****** ** ******* ***** ******** ******* ************, they **** *** ** *********; ** **** **** ** ********* in ******* **********. ************** **** *** ********* ** **** ******* finance *** ********** ** **** ***** ********* *****. *** ********, last ***** *** ***** ******** ***** **** ***** ** ** could *** ** ******, *** *** ***** ** *********** *** able ** **** ********* **** ***** **** ***********.“

**** *** *** *** **** ***** ****** ******** ********* ******** ***** *** ** *** ******** ******, * ******* **** *** ***** ********** ***** ***** ** resistant ** **** ****. *******, **** * ****** ** ***** companies *** ******* ** ******** ** ******** – **** ******* and **********, ***'* ****** ******** ** “*** ***** *** *** ********* ** **** ****.”

Pressure ** *** ***** ** ******** **** ** ***********

******** ******** **** **** *** ***** ***** ********** **** ** cut ** ****** ****** ********. **** ** ** ***** ****, the ***** ** ***** ** *** ******** ********, ****** ** handle ** ****** ********** *********. ***********, **** ** * **** defined ******* ** ******** ******* ******** ** ****** ** * cost ******.

******** *********** *** **** **** ****** ** **** ****** ** handle ********* ** *****. **** *** ********** **** ** ************, the **** ** ****** **** ********. ****, ****** *** ** operating ******* *** ********* ********* ** **** *** ******* ** pulled ** ********. **** ******** **** ******* ********* *********** **** an ** ***** ******.

But *** ***'* **** **** **** ** ***** ** **?

**** ** * ****** ******** ** *** ***** **** ******** costs **** ** ***. ****, ** ******, **** *** *********: (1) ** *** ******** **** *** ** ***** ****** ***** (see ***** *** **********) *** (*) *** ** *** ******* the ***** ** * ********* **** ****** ** ** ****** a *********.

** * ***** *******, *** ******* ******** **** ** ** keep ****** *** ***** ******** ***** ***** *** *********** ***** (unlikely ** ****).

IP ***** *** ********* *** ********** **** ** *********

******* *** **** *** ***** ** ***** *** ********* *** operations, **** *** ** ********* **** ********** **** ****** ********. I **** ********* *********** ******** ** **** ***** *** *** only *********** * *** ****** **** *** ****** ** ****** counting. ****** ******** ** **** *** ***** **** ** **** only ** **** ** * *** ******* *** ********, *** growth ** **** ******** **** ** ******.

******** ************ **** ** ******* ** *** ******* *** **** decreases. **** **** **** * *********** ****** ** **** ***** analytics ** ******* *** *** ********* ** ** ***** ** retail.

Weak *** ** ** ***** **** ** *******

*** *** ** ** ***** ** ********* ****. ********* ** Axis' *** *******, ****** ********* ** **** *-**%. ** * ***, ********** ** * *********, ***** **** not ** **********, ********** ***** **** ******* *** ************ ******* that ********* ** *** ******* **** ****** ******* *** ****** cameras ** ***** (**** ** * **** ****** *** ****** assumption). *** ******** ** ** ***** **** ** *******.

* **** ** ***** ***** ***** ** **** ********** ************ should ****** ***** ** **%. *** ******* ** *** ****** cable ******. ***** ****** ******** '**** ******' **** ***** ********* at **% **** *****. **** ****** ***** ********* **** ** to ***** ***** *** ******** ***. *************, ** ***** ****** such ******** ** *********** ****** ***** ******* ******** ** **** a ***** ******** ** ******** ******.

**** ***** *** ********* *********** ********** *** **** ** *** of *** ******** ************ *******. ** * ******* *****, *** most ************* ** ** ***** ********** ** *** **** ***** above. **** *** ********* *** ** ********** ****** * **** market *** **** ** **** ********* ** ******* ** * time ***** ***** *** **** **** ********* ********.

The *******

******* ** ***** *******, * ****** ******* ** ***** ******** to **** ************* ** **** **% ******. ********* ******* **** do ****** ******* ** ** ** ******** ********** **** **** value.  *******, *** ****** *** ***** ********* **** ****** ** 10% ** ******* *********** *** ********* ** **** ***** ***** purchasers ** ********.

*** ********* *** ** ***** ** ******** ** **** ** that (*) *** ***** **** ** *** ****** ** ***** small *** (*) ***** *** ****** ***** ** ***** *** a ****** ******** ****. ***********, *** ***** **** ****** ** the **** *** ***** (**%+) **** ** *********** ********** *** the ******** ** ********* ** ***** ********** (****, **** **** not **** **** ********** ******* ****** ******* **%+ ******).

*** ***'* ******* *** ****** ** * *** ****** ******* basis:

** ****** *******

*******

******* ** ****** ** ** *** ******* *** ****** ** IP *****. ***** **** ****** *** ******* ******** ******** *******. Consolidation ** ***** **** ***** ********** ** ********. ******* **** importantly, *** *** ** *** ******* **** **** ****** *** of *** *** ****** ******* ** **** ******** – **** originations. *** **** ********* ** **** ******** **** ****** ** reversed ** ******** ****** **** **********. ***** *** ***** **** of **** **** ********, ** ***** *** * **** *** historically. **** ** *** ****** ******** ****** **** ******* *** situation.

******

*** *** ******* ******* ** ** ***** ******, ******** ********* and ******** ************, ** ****** *** ***** **********. **** ******** spending ***** **** ***, *** ***** ****-**** *** ****** ** be ************ *******. *********, **** ******* ************* ******* (** ****** being ********), ****** ********* ** ** **** **** ********* ** spend (**** **** ** **** ******). ****** **** ****** ** file ********** ** *** ****** ****** *** *** ********* ** consumer ******** ****** *** ******. *******, ******* *** **** *** business ************, *** ********** ** **** ************ **** ********** *****. The *** ****** *** ******** ************ ******** **** *** *********** in ****.

*********

********* ** *** **, ** *** *** *********, ******** ** IP *****. *** *********** ********* **** ****** ** ******** ** strength. *** *** **** *** ********* ** ****** ** *******. Public ******* ** **** ************** **** **** ***** ****** ****. Private ******* *** ******* ****** ******* ****** ** ***** **********. This ** *****, ** *****, ** ***** ****** ** **** projects.

*******

** *** ** *** ******, ** *** ********** * ***** shift **** ******** ****** ** ******** ********* **** ** *** governmental ********. *************, *** ***** ******* ********* *** * ***** driver ** ** ***** ********. **** *** ********** ******** *** budgets ******** *******, ****** **** ******** *** ******* ******** ** be ***. ************, ** *** **, ***** ******* ***********, ** Obama ******* ***** ****** ********* ****** ** *********** ****** *** likely ***** ********** ** ******* ********. **** ****** ***** ** felt ****** *********** ***** *** ******** ** *** *********** *** projects ** ****, ******** **** ** *** ****** ** *** governmental ******.

But * ** *** ****** **** ******? (November 2008)

***** ** * ***, ** *****, ******* ******** ****** *** business *******. **** *** ***-***** ******** ******. **** ******* ***** broke ** ****** *** *** *** ********* ****** **** ******* to ** **** * ** * ****** *****. ********, *** unwinding **** ********* ** ******* ********, ******** ** ******** ******** as **** ******* **** **** ***** *** **** (*** ***), budget ********** ** *********** ****** ********** ********, ***., ***.

***********, ************* **** ****. **** ********* *** ******* ******* *** impact *** ****** *** ***. * ** ******* ******** ******* about ******** ***** “******* * *******.” *** ***** ***** ***** such ****** ** **** **** ** ***** ******** **** ********** be ********. *** ******* **** ********* ******** ** ****** ** the *********** ******, ******* ******* ******** ** ***** ********.

What ** ***** **** **?

*****, *** *********, *** *** **** ***** ** *** ****** of *** ******. **** * ****** ******** ***********, *** ****** for ***** ************ ** ****** ********* ** ******* **** ******** to *** ***** **** ** *** ******. * **** *** speculate ** *** *********** ** * ********* *****. ***********, ** a ******* *** *** ** *****, **** ***** ********* ***** demand *** ***** ************.

** *** *****, *** *** ********* *** ***** *** (*) how **** **** ***** **** *** (*) *** **** ******** managers ******* ** *** ****** ** *****. ******** ******* * balanced ********* ** ************ *** ********* ****** **** ** ********* *** *** **** *****. ** ** ********** ** ****** crime **** **** ** ***** ******* *** ********** ********* *******. What ** ********* ** ******* ** *** **** ***** **** rise.

*** ***** **** ** **** ********* ** ******* ** *** choices ******** ******** **** *** ** ****** ******* *****. *** most ********* ***** ** ********* ******** ****** (******* *** ******** reputation). *** ***** ********* ***** ** ********* ********* ********* *******. I ***** ****** ***** ***** ** ******** ***** *** **** heavily ** ****** ********* ** *****. ** *** **** ****, depending ** *** *********** *** *** ***** ** *****, ***** surveillance ****** ********** ******** ****** ** ****. *******, ** ** unlikely **** **** **** ************* ****** *** ******* ******** ********* nor *** ********** ** *******.

Is **** **** *** *** **?

**** ********** ** **** ********** ** *** ** *** ** Northern ****** *** ** ****, ** **********, ****** ***** ******* most ******** *** *************. *******, ***** *** ***** **** ** those ******* *** ***** ********** ** ** ***** (******** **% of *** ***** ***** ******), *** ****** **** ** ***********. Moreover, ***** *** ***** ***** ******* **** ** *** ***** economy, **** **** ********** ****** ** ***** ******** ** *** rest ** *** ***** ** ***** **** ** ******** ******* growth ** ***** ***** (*** ********, ***** *** ****** *** OPEC ********* *** **** *************/*********** ***** **** ****).

** * ******* ** ******* *****, *** ****** **** ********* vary. * ****** ******* * **** ******** *** **** ******* as ** ******** * ******* ************* ** **** ******* – some ****** *** ****** ******** *** **** ***** *** ****** positive. *** ********, ** ******, ***** **** *********** ******* *** ******* *****, *** ****** *********** ****** ** ******** **** *** **.

What ***** *** **** *** ******?

********** ********** ** **** *** ****** ******* **** *******. ** need ** *** **** *** *** ******* ******* *** ** video ******* *******. *** ***** ** *** ****** ** ***** unclear *** *** ********** ******* ** **** ************* ******** *** regulations *** *** ** *****. ** *** ****** ****, *** inevitable **** ******** ************ **** ** ****, * ****** ** manufacturers **** *****, ******** ************* **** ***** ********** *** ******* will ** *******. ********* ** **** *********** ** ***** ****** occur *** ** **** **** ******* ********* *** ********** ** 2010.

**** ***** ****, ********** ******* ******* ******* ** *** **** run ** ******** *** ******** *** ******* ********* ** ******** to ******* **** *****.

Login to read this IPVM report.
Why do I need to log in?
IPVM conducts unique testing and research funded by member's payments enabling us to offer the most independent, accurate and in-depth information.

Related Reports

Hikvision Launching Ezviz Pro on Sep 14, 2017
Hikvision is launching Ezviz Pro. In 2015, Hikvision expanded Ezviz, a direct to consumer offering, to North America. Now, Ezviz 'Pro' is...
Alarm.com Vs. Honeywell Total Connect Shootout on Aug 30, 2017
In the smarthome and intrusion market, Alarm.com and Honeywell are two of the biggest names. Both platforms offer remote management of alarms, home...
Directory Of Consumer Security Cameras on Aug 16, 2017
The consumer camera segment continues to grow, with new startups and models from existing players released seemingly every month. In this report we...
Stolen Video NVR / DVR Statistics on Aug 15, 2017
"But what happens if someone steals my recorder?" Anyone who has done more than a handful of jobs has probably heard this question several times....
FLIR Security Business Struggling on Aug 02, 2017
FLIR's security division is an ambitious mix of FLIR's core thermal business plus multiple acquisitions, including of retail / consumer offering...
NRF 2017 Exhibits Traffic Weak on Jun 28, 2017
The 'retail apocalypse' is not sparing the security industry. The National Retail Federation's Protect 2017's exhibit traffic is weak, notably...
QSR Video Surveillance Best Practices on Jun 21, 2017
Fast food restaurants or QSRs (quick service restaurants), are frequent victims of crime and fraud. Because they are open late, deal with cash, and...
No Hack, Still Liable, Court Finds ADT on Jun 20, 2017
Recently, ADT has been in the news for a $16 million settlement for a cyber security vulnerability class action suit. One of the most important...
Mirai-like Botnet Persirai Attacks IP Cameras - Impact Analyzed on Jun 14, 2017
Mirai made headlines in 2016, exploiting weaknesses in cameras, including those from Dahua and XiongMai to create a massive botnet that was used to...
Samsung SmartCam A1 Totally Wireless System on Jun 06, 2017
Hanwha is keeping the Samsung brand alive in consumer cameras with the SmartCam A1, a new offering combining an autotracking 1080p camera with base...

Most Recent Industry Reports

Avigilon Touting 'Made In America' on Sep 18, 2017
Canadian manufacturer Avigilon, who completed a US manufacturing facility in 2015, is now running a marketing campaign touting 'Made In America',...
Cloud Guy Prints Book, Misses Irony on Sep 15, 2017
On-premise security systems are dead. But $75 print books are alive and well. Such are the lessons from Brivo's CEO new book "The Five...
Forgotten Password Problem Importance on Sep 15, 2017
Forgotten passwords has become a major industry topic. For example, Hikvision has been emailing admin passwords in plain text until IPVM's...
September IP Networking Course on Sep 14, 2017
LAST Chance - Registration is ending. Register now. This is the only networking course designed specifically for video surveillance professionals...
Hikvision Launching Ezviz Pro on Sep 14, 2017
Hikvision is launching Ezviz Pro. In 2015, Hikvision expanded Ezviz, a direct to consumer offering, to North America. Now, Ezviz 'Pro' is...
Genetec Launches Community Connect Examined on Sep 14, 2017
Genetec has done best in large-scale, enterprise systems and relatively worse in smaller systems such as SMB. Now, Genetec is launching...
Master Keying Tutorial on Sep 14, 2017
Mechanical keys are the most fundamental, albeit unsophisticated, form of access control. Like access control, Master Keying allows large scale use...
Startup Turing Video Segway-Based Security Robot Profile on Sep 13, 2017
If security robots can not replace guards, perhaps the next best thing is a robot the guard can actually ride.  Turing Video has raised $5...
Fail Safe vs. Fail Secure Tutorial on Sep 13, 2017
Few terms carry greater importance in access control than 'fail safe' and 'fail secure'. Access control professionals must know how these concepts...

The world's leading video surveillance information source, IPVM provides the best reporting, testing and training for 10,000+ members globally. Dedicated to independent and objective information, we uniquely refuse any and all advertisements, sponsorship and consulting from manufacturers.

About | FAQ | Contact