2017 Video Surveillance Predictions

By: Brian Karas, Published on Dec 15, 2016

2017 should be an active, if not rocky, year for the security industry, according to predictions from IPVM integrators.

We surveyed integrators, asking them "In 2017, what major shifts do you anticipate? Why?", and their answers show that they have high hopes for some technologies, but also expect some manufacturers to have a rough year.

The top categories, in terms of responses, are ranked as:

Race To The Bottom
Analytics
Cloud
Cyber Security

Their full responses, and our analysis, is in this report.

**** ****** ** ** active, ** *** *****, year *** *** ******** industry, ********* ** *********** from **** ***********.

** ******** ***********, ****** them "** ****, **** ***** shifts ** *** **********? Why?", *** ***** ******* show **** **** **** high ***** *** **** technologies, *** **** ****** some ************* ** **** a ***** ****.

*** *** **********, ** terms ** *********, *** ranked **:

**** ** *** ******
*********
*****
***** ********

***** **** *********, *** our ********, ** ** this ******.

[***************]

*********

********* ************ **** *** top *********** ** *********** for ****. **** ********* like ******** ******** **** ******** analytics *** * **** *** *********** video **** *****, **** *** **** the **** **** ** any ****** **** ** see ******** ** ********* improvements.

"**** *********** & ******** video. *** ******* ******. Because **** ** ****** in ******** ****** **** intelligence **********."
"***** ********* *** ********** searching ********* **** ********* and ************ ***** **** image ********** ** ** cloud ** ********** ** VMS ******** **** **** a **** ***********, ***** will ******** *** ********* and **** ********** ** surveillance *******."
"**** ***** ********* ******** in *******, *** ***** prices *** **. ******* i **** *** * trend, ** **** ****** video ********* ********* *** other ************ **** ** Panasonic ****** **** ******* of ********* ******** ** cameras."
"********* **** ****** **** mainstream. **** **** ****** as ****** ** *** has **** *** *****."
"****** **********/******* *********"
"********** ** ********* ********** to *** ********** ************ data ** ***** ******** decisions."
"*********, *** ****** ******* such * **** *********."
"* ***** **** **** to *** **** *********** in *** ********* *****, but * ***'* *** any ******* ************* ** the *******."
"* *** ************* ******* to **** ********* * differentiator ** ****** ***************."
"**** *** ** '*********' to ******* *********- **** reliance ** ****** *********, more ** **** *********, line ********, ****** ******** and ** **. * suspect ** **** *** more ** ***** ********* in *** ***** **** cameras."
"**** ********* **** ** ours **** ***** *** size ** ***** ********* accounts, * ********** **** you **** *** **** advanced *********** *** *** utilization ** **** *********. By ******** ***********, * mean *** ****** **** a *** ** *********** leave ** *** ***** or *** *** ******** for **** ** ***** notifications *** ***** ********* that *** ******* ** board *** ******. **** is *** ** *** ways ** *** **** out ** "*** **** to *** ******.""
"**** ******** ********* ** the ***** **** ******* & *****-**** ******* (*** & *** *** *** the *********)"
"********* **** ****** **** robust *** **** ********* as ****** ****** **** and **** ********** ********."

*****

******** **** ******* **** Axis **** ******* *****-***** services *** *****, "*****" *** not **** ******** **** in *** ******** ********, and *** ****** **** discussed **** ********. *********** anticipate **** ******** ** 2017, **** ******* ********* costs *** ***** ******** the ****** ****** **** of *** ******** ** cloud *********.

"***** ******* *** ******* configuration. ******* **** ** easy ** ***."
"** ****** ******** ** the **** ** *** bottom, *** ******** ** recurring ******* ********* **** increase. *** ***** *********"
"*** ***** ****** **** be **** *** **** solutions ****** ** ***** and *********** **** ***** solutions ******* ** *********** offering ** ** *** only ***** $$$* ** end **** ** **** run *** **** ******* ease ** *** ** multiple ********* ** ******* that ******** *** ** using."
"* ***** ***** ******* will ***** ** ****** usable ** **** ***** in ****"
"* ********** * *********** rise ** ********* ******** to ***** *********. * believe ***** ** ***** too ***** ** **** with ******** ** * large ***** (********* *** to *** ***** *** upload *********), *** **** won't **** **** ********* from ************* ***** ***** based ********* *** ******** them *******."
"**** *****-***** ******* *** both ***** *** ****** control. ** *** ***** come **** *** ************* evaluate ***** ***** ********** I *** **** *** more ****** ********** ***** moved *** ****. ***** storage ** *** ***** is ***** *** **** the ********* ********* ** push ***** ** ***** being *** ***** ******* for ***** ********."
"**** ********* ******* ** on ***** ********** *** video *** ******. **** competition, ******* ****, **** acceptance ** *** *****."

Cyber ********

********** ****** ********* *** paid ** ***** ******** for *******, ********* *** access ******* *********, *** issues **** *** ***** *******, ******* ******* **** ******* manufacturers *** *** ****** from ********, *** ********* ********* around ***** ********. **** may ****** **** **** prevalent ** ****:

"***** **** **** ****. They'll ***** ***** ********* of ********* ** ****** the *****, *** ****'** produce ******** **** *** objectively **** **** * cyber ***********."
"************* ** ************ ****** to **** ** *** forefront."
"* ******* ******* ** the ********** ********* ** device ******** *** ** concerns **** ******* ************* that *********** *** ********* are ****** ** ***** distancing ********** **** **** brands, *** ******** ****** the ******** **** ****** a *** ***** ***** for *** ***** *************."
"****** *********** ***** ***** to **** *****-******** *** their ******* *** ******** offerings. ***: ** ***** want ** ******* ***** networks **** ***** ******. We *** ***** ******** for *** *** ** Video."
"***** ****** ** **** emphasis ** ******* ******** and *************"

Consolidation / ********* ***** *****

*** *** **** ****** are ******** ** ** improvements ** ****** ** technology **********, *********** **** expect ** *** **** consolidations ** ***** *******, and *********** ******* ********* going ***** ** **** do *** *** ********.

"************* ** *******/******** ******** companies ** ***** ** better ******* **** ******* companies."
"***** ******** **** ********."
"***** ******* **** *** Bosch."
"****** *** ******* *** consumer *********** ******** ** from ****** ** ** manufacturers **** ** * or * ***** ****'* coming ** ************."
"** ***** *** ***** player **** ******* **** the ********. *'* ******** probably *********."
"* ** ***** ** will *** ******* ******* exit *** ****** **** coming **** ************* ** this **** ** *** bottom ***********."
"***** *** *********** ** HIKVision **** ** ******* Watchdog **** *** ** keep **, *** **** quickly ** **** ** attempts ** ***** *** strategy **** *********. *** already *** *** ***** and ********** ******* ****** to *** * * profit ****, ***** ********* cannot *** ** ***** able ** **** ** the **** **** ****** with *** **** ********- it's **** *** **** to ****** *** **** that ****'** ******* ** find * *** ********."
"***** ***, ****** ** acquisition ** ******* ** aging *** *** ****** name ******. *** *******, ipConfigure, ****, *****, ************, etc."
"***** ****** **'** ******** to *** ******* ************* displaced ** *** ************ high ******* ******* ********."

Race ** *** ****** *********

****** **** *** * continued ******* ** ***** of *******, *** ****** has *** ******* *** bottom ***, ********* ** security ***********. ******* **** this ***** ** ***** to ******** **** ****, and **** ***** ************* will ****** *** **** products.

"******* **** ******* ***** price."
"*********, ***** ****** **** decrease ***** ****** ** match *** ***********."
"**** *************** ** *** low-mid **** **** ******** due ** *** ********* price ****"
"*** ********* *************** ** the ****** ********. **'* the **** ** *** bottom. ** ******* ** margins."
"***** ****** ** **** - **** *************"
"***** ****** **'** ******** to *** ******* ************* displaced ** *** ************ high ******* ******* ********.
"* **** ***** **** China **** ****** **** on ******* **** **** of ***-*** ***** ********* in ******* *******, ***** introducing * **** ******* of **** **** *** software ** ***** ** help ******* ******* ******* manufacturers **** ******* *** Genetec."
"***** ***** *** ***** offerings, ** ******** *********** cost ** **** ** added ********."
"********* ********* **** ******** for **** *****."
"** ********** ********* **** to *** ****** *** companies **** **** ****** dropping *** ** ******** more *** **** *****."
"**** ******** ****** ** pricing *****. ****** **** consumer ****** ******** *** packages."

Comments (14)

John Honovich

IPVM | 12/15/16 03:01pm

Let's compare member predictions from 2012, which were for 2017, which is now here.

The chart:

Video analytics is still not a big thing but let's see if 2017 will be the breakthrough, still skeptical since it takes time for new technology to get adopted and we do not see any breakthrough mainstream video analytics this year.

And I got the next big thing very wrong in 2012, predicting:

By contrast, the runner up, edge storage, has a much clearer shot at impacting the market.

Back then, HD-SDI was doing terribly and edge storage looked to be the way to get lower cost small systems. But then HD analog started to appear the next year and changed market dynamics.

John Honovich

IPVM | 12/15/16 03:07pm

Also, I'll say there is a good chance that we see Hikvision and Dahua start to pull back / slow down spending internationally as (1) they realize their approach is economically unsustainable and (2) slowing China domestic market makes them more conservative. Tactically, though the issues are different for the two; Hikvision has reached a point in NA where growth is getting much harder because of their large size and opposition at the high end; Dahua NA has a very low base to start but is incredibly poorly organized. They should try to hire the Hikvision NA president Jeffrey Hu.

Brian Rhodes

IPVMU Certified | 12/15/16 04:03pm

In terms of video analytics, a breakthrough doesn't seem likely, even on the horizon.

Considering that even high-powered CPU clusters still show to have limited analytics success, and there are fundamental physical obstacles at play with camera mounting and FoV limitations, it's not like the market is waiting for super high-end, high cost tech to become cheaper or small enough run on camera chipsets.

It seems the 'breakthrough' has yet to even be seen at the development stage.

John Honovich

IPVM | In reply to Brian Rhodes | 12/15/16 04:08pm

It seems the 'breakthrough' has yet to even be seen at the development stage.

The deep learning proponents disagree. The question becomes is how soon to a deep learning mainstream video surveillance camera / recorder and how much better will they perform?

Undisclosed Integrator #3

In reply to John Honovich | 12/16/16 01:24am

I agree. To me Deep Learning still holds great potential. I am cautiously hopeful. The big concern is that the Western manufacturers do not seem to be on board... at least publicly.

If they could simplify the searches into more common google style searches for events this could save significant time for guards.

It would be nice to see analytics do something more impressive with live video, but the processing power required would undoubtedly be mammoth.

Undisclosed Integrator #1

12/15/16 04:37pm

Analytics faces just as many challenges on the human factors side of things, i.e., the need in critical analytics applications (like knowing when someone is dangerously close to a train track or about to fall into a subway track) for a human being to actually view the alert to verify the action required. Is it a real emergency, kind of an emergency, almost an emergency, etc.????

Now, the problem I am seeing is security/operations staff needing to review/respond to maybe 5-6 alerts an hour per analytic point and seeing this as too obtrusive on their existing work tasking. Being that most of the alerts are not going to be real emergencies, they become jaded to the task and begin to complain that there are too many false alarms. Expectations that every alert is going to mean something is not realistic in many real-life scenarios where there is heavy human and/or machine activity.

Who/when will it be a guaranteed that when using self-learning, server-based analytics that only real alarms will be reported in the system?

Matt Transue

12/15/16 05:59pm

I suspect that the deep learning element will not be limited to learning their own environment, but others as well.

Multiple cameras will provide multiple perspectives of an object with the idea of rendering a 3D understanding of the object/environment using data from each camera.

Processing power will continue to increase in speed and decrease in size. I think this will help empower the 'learning' aspect even further. Probably first server based, then edge next.

John Honovich

IPVM | In reply to Matt Transue | 12/15/16 07:12pm

Multiple cameras will provide multiple perspectives of an object with the idea of rendering a 3D understanding of the object/environment using data from each camera.

Matt, have you seen any commercial vendor offer this yet?

Matt Transue

In reply to John Honovich | 12/15/16 07:30pm

This is only speculation (with a bit of wishing thrown in). I haven't seen any offering like this.

Undisclosed #2

In reply to John Honovich | 12/15/16 09:42pm

Axis has been working on 3D for several years, I can't say if it is still in the works???

Murat Altuev

AxxonSoft | 12/15/16 08:22pm

We expect to get incredible projects just because of archive search analytics. This is definitely the next big thing. Face search, color search, tracking search, etc...Not many VMSes support it and CPU resources needed, that is why it is not main stream today. But tomorrow for sure it will be famous.

Undisclosed Manufacturer #4

12/19/16 04:27pm

"China will push back. They'll apply their thousands of engineers to settle the issue, and they'll produce products that are objectively safe from a cyber perspective."

Someone hasn't figured out yet that China is intentionally making insecure products to use as tools in their cyber-war against the West. Bless his heart....

John Honovich

IPVM | In reply to Undisclosed Manufacturer #4 | 12/19/16 04:37pm

"They'll apply their thousands of engineers to settle the issue"

On the positive side, Hikvision and Dahua's fallacious marketing of engineer count = technical competence is working at least on some integrators.

Undisclosed Manufacturer #4

12/19/16 04:29pm

Cloud:

Cloud solutions will make integrators and distributors less and less relevant as the solutions get simpler to deploy and manage.

Read this IPVM report for free.

This article is part of IPVM's 6,380 reports, 860 tests and is only available to members. To get a one-time preview of our work, enter your work email to access the full article.

Related Reports

Coronavirus Hits Manufacturers, Standing Now, Worse To Come on Apr 06, 2020

Coronavirus is hitting security manufacturers, though overall modestly for now, with worse expected to come, new IPVM survey results...

Integrators Rising Against Coronavirus on May 27, 2020

IPVM integrator statistics make it clear - Coronavirus's impact on business is lessening and many are anticipating even better news in weeks...

Worst Over But Integrators Still Dealing With Coronavirus Problems (June Statistics) on Jun 30, 2020

While numbers of integrators very impacted by Coronavirus continue to drop, most are still moderately dealing with the pandemic's problems, June...

Bottom: Integrators Start To Stand Vs Coronavirus on Apr 20, 2020

Good news - IPVM integrator statistics show that while coronavirus has hit integrators hard, it is now bottoming out and starting to...

Integrators Hard Hit By Coronavirus on Mar 18, 2020

Integrators are already being hard hit by Coronavirus as brand new IPVM survey results show. Inside this report, we share statistics and dozens...

Milestone Launches Multiple Cloud Solutions on Feb 18, 2020

Milestone is going to the cloud, becoming one of the last prominent VMSes to do so. Milestone is clearly late but how competitive do these new...

Video Surveillance History on May 06, 2020

The video surveillance market has changed significantly since 2000, going from VCRs to an emerging AI cloud era and now impacted by...

Cancel or Not? Industry Split Over ISC West on Feb 26, 2020

The industry is split, polarized, over whether ISC West 2020 should run or be canceled. New IPVM survey results of 400+ respondents show heated...

Convergint Coronavirus Cuts on Mar 25, 2020

One of the world's largest security integrators, Convergint, has made a major move to handle the impact of coronavirus, with cuts across the...

"Severely Impacted" Mercury Security 2020 Leap Year Firmware Issue on Jan 17, 2020

One of the largest access controller manufacturers has a big problem: February 29th. Mercury Security, owned by HID, is alerting partners of the...

Most Recent Industry Reports

Remove Dahua and Hikvision Equipment "Immediately" Or Else Banned From US Government Contracts on Jul 10, 2020

The US government has directed contractors to remove covered equipment, such as Dahua, Hikvision, and Huawei Hisilicon products, "immediately." If...

ZeroEyes Presents Firearm Detection Video Analytics on Jul 09, 2020

ZeroEyes presented its Firearm detection Video Analytics system at the May 2020 IPVM Startups show. A 30-minute video from ZeroEyes...

Directory of 162 "Fever" Camera Suppliers on Jul 09, 2020

This directory provides a list of "Fever" scanning thermal camera providers to help you see and research what options are available. There are...

Clinton Public View Monitor (PVM) Mask Detection Tested on Jul 09, 2020

Face mask detection, or more specifically not wearing one, is expanding amidst the pandemic. Clinton Electronics has added this capability to their...