Here's a few thoughts on the topic.
- “The reports of my death are greatly exaggerated” – Mark Twain
I’ve been hearing about the “death” of Moore’s Law for the past 25 years. So far, “They” have always been wrong.
- Video surveillance chipsets still have ways to go. While clock speeds for mainstream (x86) CPUs have plateaued somewhat, there is still plenty of upside for VS chips (which historically are about 2 process generations behind the leading edge). As long as HiSilicon and Ambarella remain committed to servicing this marketplace, there will continue to be exciting new platforms every 2 years or so.
- Right now the most interesting developments in analytics and computer vision are happening with Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs). By interesting I mean getting close to actually being able to recognize objects without a ton of false positive/negatives. This technique currently uses large-scale CPU/GPU server farms, and we will have to wait and see if someone is successful in putting that technology into an embedded system.
I can certainly believe that Moore's Law has a useful lifespan and may be approaching its end.
BTW, while Moore’s Law is specifically about transistors on a chip, I equate it to the geometric growth of not just CPU speeds but also storage and networking capability.
I don’t think slowing of Moore’s Law is the end of the world for video surveillance.
Surveillance has only begun to take advantage of the tremendous capacities provided by GPUs for encoding, decoding, analytics, etc. There’s still a lot of software and features that can take advantage of the momentum that’s already built up behind GPUs.
The dramatic increases possible in WAN bandwidths/bit rates could have significant impact on surveillance, but will take considerable time for infrastructure roll out, well behind any slowing of Moore’s Law.
Likewise there’s plenty to be done with our current spot on the Moore’s Law curve as it can be applied to sensor and display technology—where it makes sense—in video surveillance. We’re just behind the curve.
I don't think managing means lowering. VA or just CCTV, both require a clear example if reality when selling.