$5 Million Guaranteed Or 20% Chance At $100 Million - What Would You Choose?

JH
John Honovich
Feb 10, 2015
IPVM

I am curious what the risk level is of people in the security industry is.

As such, I am throwing out this poll. You are given a choice, either $5 million guaranteed, cash in hand, or a 20% chance to get $100 million today. What do you choose?

Vote below:

I'll give my answer in the comments below.

Summary

Security professionals are significantly risk averse overalls, shows the poll results. Nearly 90% of 100+ respondents choose the $5 million option, even though the expected value of the other option was 4 times greater (i.e., a 20% chance at $100 million is an expected value of $20 million).

This is neither right or wrong but does highlight the risk tolerance of our industry.

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